EIA:美国地下天然气储量下降1520亿立方英尺

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原标题：EIA:美国地下天然气储量下降1520亿立方英尺

    中国石化新闻网讯 据化工网12月24日消息：美国天然气库存上周远低于5年平均水平，但在预期范围内，而Henry Hub期货价格在消息公布后下跌，尽管该周可能再度出现高于平均水平的提价。

    美国能源信息署报告称，截至12月18日的一周，库存减少1520亿立方英尺，至3.574万亿立方英尺。这一降幅略低于分析师预期的1540亿立方英尺。但高于去年同期报告的1460亿立方英尺，以及五年平均水平1270亿立方英尺。

    美国目前地下天然气储量比去年同期的3.356万亿立方英尺高出2780亿立方英尺，增幅8.4％；比五年平均水平3.356万亿立方英尺高2180亿立方英尺，增幅6.5％。

    在截至12月18日的一周内，美国天然气产量降至平均898亿立方英尺/天。较上周下降约3亿立方英尺/天，比11月下旬的高点920亿立方英尺/天低了20多亿立方英尺/天。

    出口增加和国内供暖需求强劲加剧了近期供应方面的疲软，这些因素也导致了上周供应平衡趋紧和大量库存撤离。去年12月，美国液化天然气出口终端的原料气需求平均达到创纪录的最高水平，超过110亿立方英尺/天。

    美国东部时间上午10:30公布每周库存报告后，纽约商品交易所Henry Hub一月合约价格下跌17美分，至2.61美元/百万英热。剩下的冬季合约，2月和3月下跌15美分，至平均2.58美元/百万英热，较前一周下跌5美分。

    截至12月25日当周的供应将减少1340亿立方英尺，这将使供应盈余比五年平均水平再减少320亿立方英尺，尽管假期期间需求略有减弱。

    气候变暖导致住宅和商业需求日降13亿立方英尺。此外，由于风力发电的增加降低了燃气发电量，电力行业的燃气燃烧量有望每周下降20亿立方英尺/天以上。美国各地的天气变暖导致供暖负荷减弱，在美国总产量增加8亿立方英尺/天的带动下，较低的需求得到了较高的美国总供应量的满足。

    冯娟 摘译自 化工网

    原文如下：

    source:http://news.chemnet.com/Chemical-News/detail-2459059.html

    US working natural gas volumes in underground storage declines 152 Bcf: EIA

    Denver—US working natural gas stocks fell well below the five-year average last week, but within expectations, while Henry Hub futures fell following the announcement despite another above-average draw likely for the week in progress.

    Storage inventories decreased 152 Bcf to 3.574 Tcf for the week-ended Dec. 18 the US Energy Information Administration reported the morning of Dec. 23. The report was issued one day early because of the Christmas holiday.The withdrawal was slightly below an S&P Global Platts' survey of analysts calling for a 154 Bcf pull. Responses to the survey ranged from pulls of 135 to 172 Bcf. The withdrawal was above the 146 Bcf draw reported during the same week last year as well as the five-year average withdrawal of 127 Bcf, according to EIA data.

    Storage volumes now stand 278 Bcf, or 8.4%, above the year-ago level of 3.356 Tcf and 218 Bcf, or 6.5%, above the five-year average of 3.356 Tcf.

    In the week ended Dec. 18, US natural gas production dropped to an average 89.8 Bcf/d, according to data S&P Global Platts Analytics compiled. That figure was down about 300 MMcf/d week on week, and more than 2 Bcf/d below a late-November high for US output at over 92 Bcf/d.

    Recent supply-side weakness has been exacerbated by higher exports and strong domestic heating demand–factors that also contributed to last week's tighter supply balance and large storage withdrawal. In December, feedgas demand from US LNG export terminals is averaging its highest on record at over 11 Bcf/d as import prices in Northeast Asia push the $12/MMBtu level.

    The NYMEX Henry Hub January contract plummeted 17 cents to $2.61/MMBtu in trading following the release of the weekly storage report at 10:30 am ET. The remaining winter strip, February and March, fell 15 cents to average $2.58/MMBtu, a decline of 5 cents from the week prior.

    It currently forecasts a 134 Bcf withdrawal for the week ending Dec. 25, which would shrink the surplus versus the five-year average by an additional 32 Bcf, despite demand being slightly muted by the holiday week.

    Milder weather has pushed residential and commercial demand down 1.3 Bcf/d. In addition, gas-fired burns in the power sector are on track to fall more than 2 Bcf/d week on week as much higher wind generation lowered gas generation. Warmer weather across the US resulted in lower heating load, and weaker draws in every region except for the East. Lower demand was met with a higher total US supply, led by an 800 MMcf/d boost in US production.