全球石油消费或将在10年内达到峰值

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原标题：全球石油消费或将在10年内达到峰值

　　中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网6月4日报道，俄罗斯财会商会(Russian Accounts Chamber)主席阿列克谢•库德林(Alexei Kudrin)本周对媒体表示，全球煤炭消费已经超过峰值，未来10年内可能会达到石油消费峰值。

　　这位官员指出，未来十年，俄罗斯需要学会减少对石油出口收入的依赖。其补充道，否则，20年后，这将成为一个严重的问题。

　　库德林表示，与此同时，现在有必要进行投资，使俄罗斯经济多元化，不再依赖石油。他指出，俄罗斯正在朝着这个方向采取措施，特别是在经济数字化和科学创新方面。也许我们应该早点开始朝这个方向努力。

　　财会商会负责人的评论与俄罗斯财政部副部长早些时候的评论相呼应。

　　Vladimir Kolychev在去年的一次采访中告诉彭博社，消费高峰可能已经过去，从长远来看，风险正在上升。

　　俄罗斯近来更加关注石油需求高峰的前景，俄罗斯议会能源委员会主席杜马今年4月曾表示，“一切能生产的都应该在仍有需求出售的时候生产”。

　　与其他大型石油出口国一样，俄罗斯将寻求尽可能快地将其油气资源货币化。

　　俄罗斯是世界三大石油出口国之一，与沙特阿拉伯和美国并驾齐驱。该国的石油储量至少可以维持目前的产量到2080年，天然气储量也可以再维持103年。政府还投入了数十亿美元——准确地说是1100亿美元——在东西伯利亚开发新的石油储备，每年开发1亿吨新原油。这大约是该国2019年年产量的五分之一。

　　郝芬 译自 油价网

　　原文如下：

　　Peak Oil Demand May Be Ten Years Away

　　The world is past peak coal consumption and may reach peak oil consumption within the next ten years, Alexei Kudrin, the head of the Russian Accounts Chamber, told media this week.

　　The official noted Russia will need to learn to rely less on oil export revenues over these next ten years. Otherwise, Kudrin added, this will become a serious problem in 20 years.

　　Meanwhile, investments are necessary now to diversify the Russian economy away from oil, Kudrin said, noting steps being made in that direction, specifically in the digitalization of the economy and in science and innovation.

　　"Maybe we should have started working in that direction a bit sooner," the official said.

　　The remarks of the Accounts Chamber's head echo earlier comments made by Russia's deputy financial minister.

　　"The peak of consumption may have already passed," Vladimir Kolychev told Bloomberg in an interview last year. "The risk is rising in the longer term."

　　Russia has been paying more attention to the prospect of peak oil demand recently, with the head of the energy committee at the Russian parliament, the Duma, saying in April that "Everything that can be produced should be produced while there is still demand to sell it."

　　Like other large oil exporters, Russia will be seeking to monetize as much of its oil and gas resources as quickly as it can.

　　Russia is one of the three biggest oil exporters in the world, alongside Saudi Arabia and the United States. It has enough oil to keep producing at current rates at least until 2080, with enough gas reserves to last for another 103 years. And the state is pouring billions—$110 billion to be precise—into developing new oil reserves in eastern Siberia to tap 100 million tons of new crude annually. That's about a fifth of the country's annual output in 2019.